Friday, October 5, 2007

Picking Winners

My cerebral disdain for predictions does not diminish my personal fascination with them. In light of the impending big announcement, "the short list" has been hypothesized. It looks pretty safe to me--I would think all are locks for eventual recognition. However, others certainly are in the same category, and how they have been winnowed out in 2007 is unclear, even after taking the micro/macro pattern into account.

2 comments:

tfitzgerald said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
tfitzgerald said...

It appears that other great minds are enamored of the same question.

http://gregmankiw.blogspot.com/2007/10/nobel-prize-pool.html